目录

  • Ch01: The Foreign Exchange Market
    • ● 1.1 Foreign Exchange Trading
    • ● 1.2 Spot  Exchange Rates
    • ● 1.3  Currency Arbitrage
    • ● 1.4  Foreign Exchange Rate Movements
    • ● 1.5 Trade-weighted Exchange Rate Indexes
    • ● 1.6 Chapter Review
  • Ch02: International Monetary Arrangements
    • ● 2.1 The Gold Standard & Bretton Woods Agreement
    • ● 2.2 The Current International Monetary System
  • Ch.03: The Balance of Payments
    • ● 3.1 Current Account & Capital Account
    • ● 3.2 Transactions Classifications
    • ● 3.3 Balance of Payments Equilibrium and Adjustment
  • Ch04: Forward-looking Market Instruments
    • ● 4.1 Forward Rates
    • ● 4.2 Swaps
    • ● 4.3  Futures
    • ● 4.4 Options
  • Ch05: The Eurocurrency Market
    • ● 5.1 Reasons for Offshore Banking & Libor
    • ● 5.2 International Banking Facilities & Offshore Banking Practices
  • Ch6: Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, and  Interest Parity
    • ● 6.1 Interest Parity
    • ● 6.2 Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, and  Inflation
    • ● 6.3 Expected Exchange Rates and the Term Structure of Interest Rates
  • Ch07: Prices and Exchange Rates:  Purchasing Power Parity
    • ● 7.1 Absolute Purchasing Power Parity
    • ● 7.2 Relative Purchasing Power Parity
    • ● 7.3 Overvalued and Undervalued Currencies
    • ● 7.4 Chapter Review
  • Ch08: Foreign Exchange Risk and Forecasting
    • ● 8.1 Types of Foreign Exchange Risk & Foreign Exchange Forecasting
  • Ch09: Determinants of the Balance of Trade
    • ● 9.1 Elasticities Approach to the Balance of Trade
    • ● 9.2 The Absorption Approach & Monetary Approach
  • Reviews
    • ● Key Points
  • Electronic Learning Materials
    • ● E-Textbook
    • ● Reference Book
3.1 Current Account & Capital Account
  • 1 基本概念
  • 2 PPT
  • 3 可汗公开课
  • 4 视频小课堂
  • 5 自我测试


Chapter 3 The Balance of Payments

ⅠWhat is the Balance of Payments?

The balance of payments records a country’s trade in goods, services,and financial assets with the rest of the world.

It is an accounting statement based ondouble-entry bookkeeping.

Every transaction is entered on both sides ofthe balance sheet: a credit and a debit.

Credit – entries that bring foreign exchange into the country

Debit – entries that foreign exchanges leave the country.

If the BOP always balances, then why we talkabout the U.S. trade deficit?

For each particular section of the BOP, therecould be an imbalance.

When credits > debits → a surplus

When credits < debits → a deficit

The statement that a country has a deficit orsurplus in its “balance of payments” must refer to some particular class oftransactions.

ⅡCurrent account and capital account

A. Current account

Current account – sometime called “balance of trade”. It measures the value of tradefrom:

      Goodimports and good exports

+    Serviceimports and service exports

+    Netreceipts of investment income

+    Unilateraltransfers

      CurrentAccount

1. Trade balance = exports – imports

TB > 0 → Exports > Imports → trade surplus

TB < 0 → Exports < Imports → trade deficit

TB = 0 → Exports = Imports → balanced trade

2. Net receipts of investment income = net factor income from abroad.

Foreign payments to capital, labor, and landowned by domestic firms − Domestic payments to capital, labor, and land ownedby foreign firms

3. Unilateral transfer – ex. gifts, pensions, and foreign aid.

B. Financing the current account: Capital account

Capital account – purchases and sales of financial assets (ex. buying private orgovernment bonds, stocks, and bank deposits) and direct investment (ex.purchase of a plant in another country).

 Capital account surplus→ Net capital inflow

                                      → the home country received more capital transfers than it made

                                      →  Net borrower (issuing IOUs to lenders)

Capital account deficit→ Net capital outflow

                                    → the home country make capital transfers than it receive

Capital account transactions include:

1. Official transactions

  • any intervention in the foreign exchange market done by officialgovernment sources.

  • U.S. government assets abroad

  • Foreign government assets in the U.S.

2. Private transactions

  • Direct investment: private sector invests in foreign firms

  • Security purchases: purchases and sells stocks and bonds

  • Bank claims and liabilities:  bankloans and deposits abroad

C. Additional Summary Measures: Official Settlement Balance

1. Official Settlement Balance – change in U.S. official reserves assetsabroad plus change in foreign official assets in the U.S.

It measures the net change in foreignexchange reserves and official government borrowing.

It can serve as a measure for potentialforeign exchange pressure on a dollar.

2. Current Account (CA) and Capital Account (KA)

Since the Balance of Payments always balance,

                    BOP= CA + KA = 0

                   CA + KA = 0

  • Current account surplus ↔ Capital account deficit

  • Current account deficit ↔ Capital account surplus

D. Statistical Discrepancy (SD)

Because not all international transactionsare properly recorded, the statistical discrepancy (errors) will be added.

 CA + KA + SD = 0

 SD = − (CA + KA)