目录

  • Ch01: The Foreign Exchange Market
    • ● 1.1 Foreign Exchange Trading
    • ● 1.2 Spot  Exchange Rates
    • ● 1.3  Currency Arbitrage
    • ● 1.4  Foreign Exchange Rate Movements
    • ● 1.5 Trade-weighted Exchange Rate Indexes
    • ● 1.6 Chapter Review
  • Ch02: International Monetary Arrangements
    • ● 2.1 The Gold Standard & Bretton Woods Agreement
    • ● 2.2 The Current International Monetary System
  • Ch.03: The Balance of Payments
    • ● 3.1 Current Account & Capital Account
    • ● 3.2 Transactions Classifications
    • ● 3.3 Balance of Payments Equilibrium and Adjustment
  • Ch04: Forward-looking Market Instruments
    • ● 4.1 Forward Rates
    • ● 4.2 Swaps
    • ● 4.3  Futures
    • ● 4.4 Options
  • Ch05: The Eurocurrency Market
    • ● 5.1 Reasons for Offshore Banking & Libor
    • ● 5.2 International Banking Facilities & Offshore Banking Practices
  • Ch6: Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, and  Interest Parity
    • ● 6.1 Interest Parity
    • ● 6.2 Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, and  Inflation
    • ● 6.3 Expected Exchange Rates and the Term Structure of Interest Rates
  • Ch07: Prices and Exchange Rates:  Purchasing Power Parity
    • ● 7.1 Absolute Purchasing Power Parity
    • ● 7.2 Relative Purchasing Power Parity
    • ● 7.3 Overvalued and Undervalued Currencies
    • ● 7.4 Chapter Review
  • Ch08: Foreign Exchange Risk and Forecasting
    • ● 8.1 Types of Foreign Exchange Risk & Foreign Exchange Forecasting
  • Ch09: Determinants of the Balance of Trade
    • ● 9.1 Elasticities Approach to the Balance of Trade
    • ● 9.2 The Absorption Approach & Monetary Approach
  • Reviews
    • ● Key Points
  • Electronic Learning Materials
    • ● E-Textbook
    • ● Reference Book
4.1 Forward Rates
  • 1 基本概念
  • 2 PPT
  • 3 视频小课堂
  • 4 自我测试


Chapter 4 Forward-looking Market Instruments

Ⅰ Forward Rates

A. Definition

Forward rate – the price of foreign money for delivery at a future date (one, threeor six months later).

Forward exchange rates help facilitateinternational trade and serve as a hedge against foreign exchange risk.

B. Forward Premium vs. Forward Discount

Forward Premium—when the forward exchangerate is greater than the spot rate.

Forward Discount—when the forward exchangerate is less than the spot rate.

Flat Currency—when the forward rate and spotrate are equal.

C. How are Forward Rates Determined?

Forward rates are determined by majorfinancial institutions in the foreign exchange market using a formula calledthe covered interest parity(CHAPTER6).

Active Learning 7: Covered interest arbitrage(CIA)

Covered interest parity condition

         (id – if) ≈ (Ftd/f– S0d/f)/ S0d/f

If the equation does not hold, arbitragerscan borrow funds from one place, invest them in another place, take theadvantage of the forward market to lock the profits.

If (id – if) < (Ftd/f– S0d/f)/ S0d/f, then borrow at id,buy S0d/f, lend at if, and sell Ftd/f.

    1)Borrow domestic currency;

    2)Sell domestic currency in spot market;

    3)Invest in foreign market;

    4)Buy domestic currency in forward market.      

If (id – if) > (Ftd/f– S0d/f)/ S0d/f, then borrow at if,buy Ftd/f, lend at id, and sell S0d/f.

D. Hedging

Hedging—an activity to offset or avoid riskin the market.